Kalshi Market Puts Georgia Ahead in Arch Manning Transfer Speculation

A Kalshi market on Arch Manning’s next team has Georgia in front of Texas as speculation grows over whether the quarterback will remain with the Longhorns. The market is set to settle by February 2, 2027, and its listed chances are 61% for Georgia, 50% for Texas, 32% for Manning to declare for the NFL draft, 8% for Ole Miss and 2% for Tennessee.

The figures are market prices, not confirmation that Manning plans to transfer. The market’s listed payouts show a $10 trade would return a $5.95 profit if he transferred to Georgia, or $9.96 if he stayed at Texas.

Manning’s recruitment included Texas, Georgia and Alabama among his finalists. At the 2025 SEC Media Day, he said the choice had been close among those three schools. Georgia’s Gunner Stockton is in his final season, while Ryan Puglisi, Ryan Montgomery and Hezekiah Millender are among the quarterbacks behind him.

This season, Manning has thrown for 1,727 yards and 15 touchdowns, with seven interceptions. Ole Miss and Tennessee are also listed as possibilities, with the report pointing to his uncles Eli Manning’s connection to Ole Miss and Peyton Manning’s to Tennessee. It described Ole Miss as a possible fit with Trinidad Chambliss playing his final year of eligibility, while Tennessee has 2026 recruit Faizon Brandon in its quarterback picture.