Wake Forest’s Metrics Stay Strong Ahead of SMU Test

Wake Forest’s analytics profile remains strong heading into its game against SMU this weekend, even after the team fell two places to No. 13 in ESPN’s Football Power Index following its 77-0 victory over Merrimack. The Deacons are No. 11 in both the AP and coaches polls. The next College Football Playoff rankings are scheduled for release on November 10.

The FPI puts Wake’s playoff chances at 52.9%, while its probability of winning the conference is 20.5%. The model gives the team an 11.5% chance of winning its remaining games. Wake’s Strength of Record ranks 10th, ahead of several teams also competing for playoff places.

Other evaluation metrics rate the Deacons highly: PFF places them fifth overall, with their passing game fourth and rushing game eighth nationally. Their ground attack has gained momentum, with contributions from Ty Clark III, Duece Lawrence and Jamar Searcy, alongside quarterback Gio Lopez’s running ability.

Wake’s defense ranks fourth nationally in both run defense and coverage, according to PFF. SMU arrives after beating Virginia Tech 51-28. The matchup will give Wake’s highly rated defense a tougher test, with three games remaining in the regular season.